~Some ideas and material on this page are copied from other sources without attribution~

Libya is developing into the center of a post colonial battleground that will have lasting negative effects for former colonial powers, unless they take steps to fix the growing problem.

Western Europe will fracture into weakened federal states that will be vulnerable to the slightest tribal separatist pressures.

England particularly will be divided. As neither the center of a tribal power, nor a federating power, it will decay into a 'tribe without a country' as a weakened U.S. tries to consolidate its declining influence.

Israel has been lured into acting as a western European influence in the Middle East. Israelis believe they are protected by Russia, but Russia has a clear historic policy regarding allies that play both ends against the middle.

China and Russia will seem to be the biggest beneficiaries of the turmoil for a few years.

India has been walked into taking the Israeli stance of a false 'federal' player using religion as a mask to hide tribal agenda. India is somewhat protected by its large land mass, but the idea of using religion as a federating context is silly and will fail when it bumps up against more natural influences. It is basically the stupidity of Israel's ambition, but on a larger scale. India will pay less for its silliness than Israel, because it has a defensible retreat, but it would be wiser to start with a position of common sense rather than waiting for it to be imposed.

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What is a better path?

The former colonizing powers of Europe still have enough influence to force a tribal solution in Africa, but time is fast running out. Once Europe gets to the point that 'terrorism' is the norm there will be no way for European influence to consolidate tribal interests in Africa. So here is an obvious best, only sensible, solution.

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No African states have the military ability to interfere with developed military powers. Til now industrialized countries have used that fact when it suited them, and also the opposite i.e., respect for sovereignty, when it suited them, when it was more profitable.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_extinct_languages_of_Africa

Only decentralized tribal economies based on a locally available commodity, or pseudo commodity, could ensure the defense of tribal interests in any setting, but especially the current setting.

Digital currencies are not a commodity, obviously, but they are a sort of pseudo commodity that would serve the emergency function of guaranteeing hard financial borders for tribal interests, which could develop into secure physical borders if those economic interests were properly 'globalized', in other words if the currencies were designed properly and supported by the natural interests of 'competing' economies.

The cost of 'introducing' this new paradigm in Africa would be minimal, both in financial and military terms, and it would have many benefits both locally and globally. Tribal groups that have been decimated by false federalism would become survivable, even a small tribe could become suddenly well defended by the economic interests of its neighbors. Globally, such economies using currency that developed ai algorithms would accelerate sciences that are needed to solve a growing list of problems like climate change.

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The competing paradigm, which is currently playing out, will devastate many regions and leave the 'victors' with spoiled spoils.

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The first step in introducing this path would be an ultimatum to some false federal group in a state that can be overwhelmed militarily if necessary. Cameroon and Libya are both candidates, but Cameroon might be the more productive.

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Example of how it would play out.

Currencies are designed for each tribal group or region, e.g. Ambazonia.

A foreign consortium guarantees a sensible liquidity for the currency, in real commodities like gold, silver, food etc, for a period of years. The currency can only be generated by doing computer work, see other pages on this website for details.

The main expense here would be computers that can be used to 'human mine' ai algorithms and a minimal amount of training to perhaps 10% of the population, who would be the producers of the ai currency. If one group made a big step that increased the value of their currency then more of their people would work on the currency until foreign or 'competing' networks figured out the advance.

The former 'federal' power is then offered something comparable or its alternative, a military adventure.

After several tribal currencies are established then a network is created in which they compete, as described elsewhere on the site.

At some point the currency will become a supercommodity, a pseudocommodity that produces a commodity, and at that point foreign intervention in local economies will be minimal.

The residual issue of federating powers outside tribal economies would be solved by using actual federal influence i.e., mixed race groups, willing refugees, displaced persons etc to create their own 'pseudo tribal' economies. Natural variables will provide both a place / use, for those economies and a defense for them, as long as they don't develop ambitions on tribal territory.

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The variable that can't be calculated is whether advances in science that would result from this type of economy would be fast enough to solve the problems that already have developed. This is moot though, since it would have a far greater chance of solving those problems than the current path.

It's like a person who must travel 100 miles within an hour for some emergency, and they have to choose between a bicycle and a motorcycle. Neither guarantees success, but a motorcycle has a greater chance of success.

An ai currency based economy will develop eventually, there isn't any doubt about that.

The question in Africa should be whether to wait for the Chinese to 'gift' such a system, with Africans being employees, or for Africans to build that economy theirselves.